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12th Congressional District · 2026 U.S. House · Unofficial result

U.S. House, 12th District: what did each candidate actually say they'd do?

IN PLAIN ENGLISH

Rep. Gus Bilirakis (R) ran for re-election, by his own account. Kimberly Overman (D) is a former Hillsborough County commissioner, by her own account, and Branden Scrivener was on the ballot with no party affiliation. With all 67 counties at 100% of precincts reporting, Bilirakis leads Overman by 19,437 votes. Our saved sources show no race call and no concession, and the count is unofficial until certified. Check your own address on the Florida Division of Elections voter lookup to confirm your district.

Bilirakis leadsAll 67 counties at 100% of precincts reporting; no call or concession in our sources; unofficial until certified1
52.74%Bilirakis (R): 150,7461
45.94%Overman (D): 131,3091
1.32%Scrivener (No Party Affiliation): 3,7831
19,437Vote margin of 285,838 cast1

Do they have a plan?

We read every issue on each candidate's own website and checked the same six things for every one. We count what's there. We don't grade whether the ideas are good. Read the full scoring rules

Of the issues on their website, how many...Gus Michael BilirakisKimberly OvermanBranden Scrivener
Names a policy5 of 8
12 of 14
3 of 5
Says how they'd do it1 of 8
0 of 14
1 of 5
Includes a number or target1 of 8
0 of 14
1 of 5
Says how it's paid for0 of 8
0 of 14
0 of 5
Gives a timeline0 of 8
0 of 14
0 of 5
Points to a record6 of 8
2 of 14
0 of 5

The candidates, side by side

Each topic shows every candidate's own words on it, in alphabetical order, from their own website. "Nothing on this topic" means their site doesn't cover it. Topic rows are grouped by us from their headings; the scores don't change.

Gus Michael BilirakisRepublican
Kimberly OvermanDemocrat
Branden ScrivenerNo Party Affiliation
Who they are
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Incumbent: his About page asks voters to "Help re-elect a congressman who delivers results and fights to lower costs for Pasco and Hillsborough."4 His Issues & Record page has eight sections; all eight were scored, with record credited from his Home page where it matches an issue.2, 3
Kimberly Overman
Hillsborough County commissioner "from 2018 to 2022", by her own account.6 Her Issues page has seven headings, each scored with the matching post from her site's Substack list credited to it (linked material counts like a plan document). Seven more topics appear only in that Substack list; each is scored as its own issue and marked "Substack only", fourteen in all.5 Her Substack pages carry reader comments; none were used.
Branden Scrivener
Healthcare worker and father of two, by his own account.20 His site is one page; the "My Key Issues" section has five headed blocks, all five scored.20
Abortion
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Reproductive Rights & Personal Freedom"She will fight to restore and protect the right to abortion and access to reproductive care" Her Substack post: "I support codifying Roe v. Wade, protecting abortion access, protecting access to contraception" and "I support the Equal Rights Amendment and will vote in support of resolutions affirming the ERA as valid after fulfilling the requirements of Article V of the U.S. Constitution."5, 12
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Immigration and the border
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Public Safety, School Safety, & the Border"passed the Take It Down Act to give law enforcement new tools against AI-generated child sexual abuse material" and "brought $3 million in school-safety funding to districts in the new CD 12 footprint this year"2
Names a policyPoints to a record
Supporting the Trump Agenda"Gus is a proven partner for the America First agenda, voting to secure the border, cut taxes for working families and seniors, and unleash American energy"2
None of the six checks
Kimberly Overman
Immigration, Due Process, and Family Unity (Substack only)"I support secure borders, effective immigration management, due process protections, family unity, lawful pathways for immigration, modernized immigration systems, efficient case processing, workplace accountability, protection for Dreamers"15
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Veterans
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Veterans & Military Families"She'll fight to improve access to VA care, mental health services, job training, and transitional support for returning veterans."5
None of the six checks
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Social Security, Medicare and seniors
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Social Security, Medicare, and Retirement Security (Substack only)"I oppose cutting earned Social Security benefits, raising the retirement age in ways that harm workers, or privatizing Social Security into accounts exposed to market risk."13
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Health care
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Homeowners & Flood Insurance Affordability"Gus filed the Homeowners Premium Tax Reduction Act" and describes it as "an above-the-line $10,000 tax deduction on homeowners insurance premiums for a primary residence". He is also "fighting for an Anclote River Basin study to attack the flooding driving repetitive-loss premiums in the first place."2
Names a policySays how they'd do itIncludes a number or targetPoints to a record
Mental Health & Addiction"Gus secured $2 million to expand mental-health services at FQHCs" and "extended telehealth for seniors through the EASE Act"2
Names a policyPoints to a record
Children's Health & Rare Disease"Gus is leading the fight to expand the federal newborn-screening panel" and "he secured the reauthorization of the Pediatric Cancer Voucher"2
Names a policyPoints to a record
Kimberly Overman
Healthcare Access"No one should have to choose between seeing a doctor and paying their rent." Her Substack post lists "allowing Medicare and Medicaid to negotiate drug prices" and "adding dental, vision, and hearing benefits".5, 8
Names a policy
Climate Resilience & Environmental Protection"In Congress, she'll fight for resilient infrastructure, protection of the Florida Wildlife Corridor, and environmental justice for the communities hit hardest" Her Substack post: "My work with USF environmental students and professors to help secure formal recognition and protection for the Preserve fits within a larger belief"5, 11
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Housing
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Affordable Housing & Cost of Living"In Congress, she'll fight for increased investment in affordable housing, expanded transportation options, and stronger support for working families and small businesses." Her Substack post adds: "As Hillsborough County Commissioner, I chaired the Affordable Housing Advisory Board, chaired the Housing Finance Authority, helped lead budget decisions, and passed the Tenant Bill of Rights."5, 7
Names a policyPoints to a record
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Schools and education
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Education & Workforce Development"She will advocate for stronger investments in schools, competitive teacher pay, and expanded access to early childhood education, vocational training, and higher education that prepares students for good-paying jobs." Her Substack post adds "student debt relief" and "I support strong enforcement of IDEA, Section 504, and civil-rights protections for students with disabilities."5, 10
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Invest in local public education"Funding for public education should not be diverted to these programs."20
Names a policy
Technology and privacy
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Nothing on this topic
Branden Scrivener
Data Privacy & Development"Your data should be protected and required to be accessed by the government with the use of a warrant." Also: "They should not be able to buy your consumer data on the market to create their own lists and data." And: "No AI data centers paid for by Floridians."20
Names a policySays how they'd do it
Disasters and the coast
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Hurricane Recovery in West Pasco"Gus secured $585 million in federal disaster-recovery funding for Pasco County"2
Points to a record
Kimberly Overman
Nothing on this topic
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Crime and public safety
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Public Safety & Crime Prevention"Kimberly supports public safety policies that work: strong law enforcement paired with investments in mental health services, youth engagement, and community-led crime prevention." Her Substack post supports "banning questions about prior convictions on employment applications".5, 9
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Elections and voting
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Voting Rights, Fair Districts, and Democracy (Substack only)"I support strengthening the Voting Rights Act, protecting and expanding voter access, protecting Vote-by-Mail and Early Voting, supporting fair and nonpartisan redistricting"14
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Ethics, term limits and money in politics
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Ethics, Accountability, and Campaign Finance (Substack only)"A ban on Members of Congress trading individual stocks while serving in office." The post also backs the "Freedom to Vote Act", the "Honest Ads Act" and the "DISCLOSE Act", and says "I do not accept contributions from corporate PACs."17
Names a policyPoints to a record
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Taxes, jobs and the economy
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Lowering the Cost of Living"Gus delivered the new $6,000 senior tax exemption" and "continues to push affordability legislation that puts money back in working families' pockets". Home page: "Co-sponsored legislation to eliminate taxes on Social Security." and "No tax on tips. No tax on overtime."2, 3
Names a policyPoints to a record
Kimberly Overman
Labor, Wages, and Workers' Rights (Substack only)"I support raising the national minimum wage and indexing it to inflation, expanding overtime eligibility, requiring accurate worker classification, and protecting workers from wage suppression." Also: "I support the PRO Act, collective bargaining rights"18
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Nothing on this topic
Defense and foreign policy
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Foreign Policy, Human Rights, and National Security (Substack only)"I support congressional authorization requirements for military action, meaningful oversight of intelligence and military activities, reporting requirements for U.S. involvement abroad, and prioritizing diplomacy whenever possible."16
Names a policy
Branden Scrivener
Quality of Life"The interest of working class Americans must be prioritized over those of foreign nations or corporate capital."20
None of the six checks
How government works
Gus Michael Bilirakis
One of Congress's Most Effective Members"The nonpartisan Center for Effective Lawmaking has named Gus one of the most effective members of Congress, multiple times"2
None of the six checks
Kimberly Overman
Hispanic and Latino Communities, Opportunity, and Representation (Substack only)"I support expanding access to capital, workforce training, affordable healthcare, quality education, affordable housing, career and technical education, nutrition support, language access, and small business resources"19
None of the six checks
Branden Scrivener
Government Reform"All political offices need strict term limits. I believe 8 years is sufficient for the House." Also: "Congress needs to be uncapped to meet the growing population and create equal representation." And: "I will advocate for open primaries to allow all voters to participate in the election process."20
Names a policyIncludes a number or target
Other
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Nothing on this topic
Kimberly Overman
Nothing on this topic
Branden Scrivener
Grassroots"This is a grassroots campaign and that means I need your support."20
None of the six checks
Their record
Gus Michael Bilirakis
  • "Co-sponsored legislation to eliminate taxes on Social Security."3
  • "Longest-ever KidCare reauthorization in the program's history."3
Kimberly Overman
  • County commissioner, by her own account: "passed the Tenant Bill of Rights."7
  • "I do not accept contributions from corporate PACs."17
Branden Scrivener
  • Internships at "Catholic Charities, Tampa Crossroads, Department of Child Services, and Flagler Education Foundation" and "over three years" in healthcare, by his own account.20 That is job and internship history; none ties to a scored issue as a specific action.
In their words
Gus Michael Bilirakis

"Talk is cheap in Washington. What matters is who actually passes legislation and delivers real results for the families and Seniors they represent."

Gus Bilirakis, campaign Issues & Record page2

"Floridians are losing the dream of homeownership to skyrocketing insurance premiums."

Gus Bilirakis, campaign Issues & Record page2
Kimberly Overman

"Kimberly Overman is running for Congress to deliver what Florida's 12th District deserves but isn't getting: leadership that listens, acts, and puts people first."

Kimberly Overman, campaign Issues page5

"No one should have to choose between seeing a doctor and paying their rent."

Kimberly Overman, campaign Issues page5
Branden Scrivener

"I've decided to stop wishing for someone to change things and become the change I want to see."

Branden Scrivener, campaign Home page20

"We have more in common than they want us to believe."

Branden Scrivener, campaign Home page20
Where we read it
Gus Michael Bilirakis
Website: bilirakisforcongress.com/issues.html (checked 11/5/2026)
Kimberly Overman
Website: kimberlyoverman.com/issues/ (checked 11/5/2026)
Branden Scrivener
Website: brandenscrivenerfl.info (checked 11/5/2026)

The middle

Where they agree

  • Bilirakis and Overman both want lower drug costs. Bilirakis: "lowering prescription drug costs for seniors"2 Overman: she will work to "lower prescription drug costs."5
  • Both link flooding to insurance costs. Bilirakis is "fighting for an Anclote River Basin study to attack the flooding driving repetitive-loss premiums in the first place."2 Overman: "when communities skip investment in drainage, flood mitigation, and clean water infrastructure, families pay through higher premiums and repair bills."5
  • Overman and Scrivener both want limits on corporate money in politics. Overman: "I do not accept contributions from corporate PACs."17 Scrivener: "Campaign Finance law needs to be reworked to prevent unlimited corporate spending"20

Where they really split

  • Borders: Bilirakis says "Gus secured the wall to choke off the cartels driving human and drug trafficking"2 Overman says "I support secure borders, effective immigration management, due process protections, family unity, lawful pathways for immigration"15
  • The new tax law: Bilirakis points to a "$6,000 senior tax exemption locked in under the new tax law."3 Overman writes that the law "raised concern among healthcare providers, patient advocates, and policy analysts" over Medicaid and ACA changes.8
  • Housing: Bilirakis proposes "an above-the-line $10,000 tax deduction on homeowners insurance premiums for a primary residence."2 Overman supports "reducing unnecessary barriers to responsible housing production."7

What each one leaves out

  • Bilirakis's Issues & Record page mostly lists bills and funding he says he already won; his one forward plan with details is the homeowners-insurance deduction, and he gives no cost or date for it, or for his Social Security and drug-price pledges.2
  • Overman names a policy on 12 of fourteen issues but says how on none, and gives no costs or dates; the one record she ties to an issue is the Tenant Bill of Rights on housing.5, 7
  • Scrivener names a policy on 3 of five issues and says how on one (data privacy); he gives no costs or dates and no record tied to an issue.20
Sources (checked 11/5/2026)
  1. Florida Division of Elections, Florida Election Watch, unofficial (all 67 counties at 100% of precincts reporting): floridaelectionwatch.gov/FederalOffices/USRepresentative
  2. Gus Bilirakis campaign, Issues & Record: bilirakisforcongress.com/issues.html
  3. Gus Bilirakis campaign, Home: bilirakisforcongress.com
  4. Gus Bilirakis campaign, About Gus: bilirakisforcongress.com/bio.html
  5. Kimberly Overman campaign, The Issues: kimberlyoverman.com/issues/
  6. Kimberly Overman campaign, Meet Kimberly: kimberlyoverman.com/meet-kimberly/
  7. Kimberly Overman on Substack, The Affordability Crisis Is Real (linked from her Issues menu): kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/the-affordability-crisis-is-real-0e8
  8. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Healthcare Should Not Depend on Your ZIP Code, Job, Gender, or Income: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/healthcare-should-not-depend-on-your
  9. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Criminal Justice, Community Safety, Human Trafficking Prevention, and Equal Treatment: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/criminal-justice-community-safety
  10. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Education Creates Opportunity: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/education-creates-opportunity
  11. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Climate Resilience Is Affordability: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/climate-resilience-is-affordability
  12. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Protecting Women, Families, and Freedom: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/protecting-women-families-and-freedom
  13. Kimberly Overman on Substack, A Promise Should Be a Promise: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/a-promise-should-be-a-promise
  14. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Democracy Works When Every Voter Has a Voice: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/democracy-works-when-every-voter
  15. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Strong Borders, Fair Laws, and Human Dignity: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/strong-borders-fair-laws-and-human
  16. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Foreign Policy, Human Rights, National Security, and Responsible U.S. Leadership: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/foreign-policy-human-rights-national
  17. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Government Should Work for People, Not Special Interests: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/government-should-work-for-people-ea6
  18. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Workers Deserve Leadership That Listens: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/workers-deserve-leadership-that-listens
  19. Kimberly Overman on Substack, Opportunity, Representation, and Respect: kimberlyoverman.substack.com/p/opportunity-representation-and-respect
  20. Branden Scrivener campaign, Home: brandenscrivenerfl.info